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How does the standard deviation OF the truecount vary through the deck and with number of decks in the shoe? Well, the regular count on the first card dealt is the same no matter how many decks, and then the variance as a function of position through the shoe is a parabola intersecting the line y=0 at x=0 and x=(52*number of decks), and of course standard deviation is square root of variance. In other words, the count is 0 before the first card has been dealt, and after the whole shoe has been dealt. Naturally the peak of the parabola is halfway through, but that’s the regular count, not the truecount. The truecount is that parabola divided by number of decks remaining, and that increases all the way to the end. The way I count is 2-7 get one point, 9 10 and A get -1. The regular count, on the first card dealt, is (12/13)^0.5, the square root of 12/13. So now you have 3 points that define the parabola entirely, you have y=sqrt(12/13) at x=1, and y=0 at both x=0 and (52*number of decks). What is the result you get? Well, one result is that halfway through a n-deck shoe, the truecount is sqrt(40/n). So in a 2-deck game with the cutcard 1 deck before the end, the standard deviation of the count right at the end there will be sqrt(20) or about 4.47. So 16% of the time, the truecount will be more than that. Allowing for some error resulting from discretization of a normal distribution, that is. But what is the standard deviation of a 6-deck game, 1 deck before the end? It’s sqrt(40), or about 6.32. Better than 4.47 by a factor of the square root of 2. So 16% of the time, the truecount will be more than 6.32 right before the cutcard in the 6-deck game, but one standard deviation is only 4.47 right before the cutcard in the 2 deck game. 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